Poligono Toledo vs Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poligono Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ARG
2 - 1
PTO
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
PTO
3 - 0
CDE
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PTO
0 - 1
ORG
65%
19%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MEN
1 - 5
PTO
8%
15%
78%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
PTO
3 - 0
POL
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAL
3 - 1
MEN
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
POL
5 - 1
CAL
23%
22%
55%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 1
CDL
43%
24%
34%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PUE
0 - 1
CAL
21%
21%
58%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CAL
3 - 2
CON
29%
24%
47%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +2 |