Police XI vs Township Rollers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
NIC
0 - 0
POL
43%
23%
33%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
POL
0 - 4
GAB
39%
27%
35%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
ORA
1 - 1
POL
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
POL
0 - 1
VTM
82%
13%
6%
|
39 | 7 | 32 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GAL
2 - 2
POL
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Township Rollers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
TOW
2 - 1
GAB
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 2
TOW
40%
27%
34%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
TOW
1 - 0
SUA
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 3
TOW
18%
19%
63%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ORA
0 - 1
TOW
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |