Police XI vs Prisons XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
GAB
1 - 1
POL
42%
28%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
MOG
1 - 1
POL
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
POL
0 - 1
TOW
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
POL
1 - 0
GAL
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
ORA
1 - 2
POL
46%
27%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Prisons XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
PRI
2 - 3
EXT
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
GAL
2 - 1
PRI
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
PRI
0 - 2
SUA
44%
25%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ORA
4 - 0
PRI
44%
25%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
PRI
2 - 1
BRH
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |