Police XI vs Nico United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
47.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
POL
0 - 1
BOT
34%
27%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
TAF
1 - 0
POL
57%
22%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
HGH
1 - 0
POL
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
POL
1 - 2
GAL
25%
22%
53%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VTM
3 - 1
POL
28%
23%
49%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Nico United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
MAS
0 - 1
NIC
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
NIC
0 - 1
MOW
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
NIC
2 - 1
SES
41%
27%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NIC
3 - 1
SUA
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TAF
1 - 3
NIC
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |