Police XI vs Matebele FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
TOW
3 - 1
POL
51%
26%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
POL
1 - 1
EAN
40%
26%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SUA
1 - 0
POL
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MOW
1 - 1
POL
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
POL
1 - 2
MAS
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Matebele FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 0
MOW
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MAS
0 - 0
MFC
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 1
SES
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
NIC
1 - 1
MFC
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 0
TAF
26%
22%
52%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +2 |