Police XI vs Masitaoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MAS
2 - 3
POL
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
EAN
1 - 2
POL
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
POL
0 - 3
TOW
36%
27%
37%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
NIC
0 - 0
POL
43%
23%
33%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
POL
0 - 4
GAB
39%
27%
35%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Masitaoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MAS
2 - 3
POL
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
MFC
4 - 1
MAS
21%
21%
59%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MAS
0 - 0
GAB
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
GAL
2 - 1
MAS
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SUA
1 - 2
MAS
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |