Police XI vs Extension Gunners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
15º
9º
20
5º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2022 |
TOW
0 - 1
POL
62%
22%
17%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
SES
1 - 0
POL
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
NOT
0 - 4
POL
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
GAL
3 - 0
POL
57%
24%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
POL
1 - 2
EXT
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Extension Gunners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2022 |
MOW
1 - 3
EXT
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
TOW
3 - 0
EXT
64%
21%
15%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
ORA
2 - 1
EXT
54%
25%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
EXT
1 - 2
BOT
52%
23%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
POL
1 - 2
EXT
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |