Police XI vs Extension Gunners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
9.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
GAL
1 - 1
POL
62%
23%
15%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
POL
1 - 2
BRH
72%
18%
11%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
NOT
0 - 2
POL
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
TOW
0 - 0
POL
66%
21%
14%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
EXT
1 - 3
POL
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Extension Gunners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
EXT
1 - 0
MIS
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 1
EXT
28%
24%
47%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
EXT
2 - 3
TOW
15%
23%
62%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
SBB
2 - 0
EXT
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
EXT
1 - 3
POL
32%
28%
40%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |