Police United vs CD Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.3%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
81.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FCB
2 - 1
POL
49%
25%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
POL
1 - 1
PLA
53%
21%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
POL
0 - 11
PAC
4%
13%
83%
|
30 | 82 | 52 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
WAG
1 - 2
POL
56%
20%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
POL
3 - 1
FRE
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SOC
1 - 2
OLI
17%
27%
55%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 0
HNP
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
OLI
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 0
JUT
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
OLI
3 - 1
MOT
52%
25%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +2 |