Police United vs Royal Thai Fleet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
31.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2013 |
BEC
3 - 2
POL
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
POL
1 - 1
OSO
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 1
POL
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
MUA
2 - 0
POL
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
POL
0 - 0
CHI
44%
27%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Royal Thai Fleet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2013 |
ARM
3 - 2
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
BUR
3 - 0
ARM
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 1
SON
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 0
CHA
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BAN
1 - 0
ARM
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |