Police FC vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 5
POL
40%
23%
36%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
POL
2 - 3
SAN
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
POL
1 - 0
CEN
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 2
POL
35%
23%
42%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
CON
0 - 0
POL
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 1
NOR
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
DEF
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
POI
1 - 2
DEF
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 2
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -5 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 0
DEF
50%
24%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +3 |