Kenya Police FC vs KCB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
2º
16º
3º
63
1º
5º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 66 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
60 | 64 |
5º
|
39% | |
|
|
5º
|
63 | 64 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 47 |
9º
|
98% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 37 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
55.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 35 |
15º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 33 |
16º
|
78% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 24 |
17º
|
97.5% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 13 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya Police FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
POL
1 - 1
NAI
51%
23%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
POL
1 - 0
AFC
39%
23%
38%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
POL
1 - 0
BAN
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
VIU
1 - 4
POL
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
POL
2 - 1
POS
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
KCB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
BFC
2 - 3
KCB
35%
30%
36%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
KCB
2 - 0
MAT
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
NZO
1 - 0
KCB
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
KCB
3 - 2
NAI
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
KAK
2 - 1
KCB
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |