Kenya Police FC vs Kakamega Homeboyz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya Police FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
TLT
0 - 1
POL
25%
28%
47%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
POL
1 - 0
GOR
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 3
POL
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
POL
1 - 0
MSU
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 17 | 52 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
POL
3 - 1
NAI
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Kakamega Homeboyz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
KAK
1 - 1
ULI
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
POS
1 - 1
KAK
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
KAK
1 - 1
AFC
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
KAK
2 - 0
SHA
65%
22%
14%
|
64 | 30 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
GOR
2 - 0
KAK
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |