Police FC vs Etincelles FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
MUS
1 - 2
POL
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
POL
0 - 0
GIC
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
POL
1 - 0
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ASK
2 - 2
POL
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
POL
0 - 0
GFC
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Etincelles FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ETI
1 - 1
ASK
35%
29%
37%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2021 |
ETI
0 - 0
APR
33%
27%
41%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
GFC
2 - 2
ETI
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
ETI
0 - 2
KIY
36%
28%
36%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 0
ETI
47%
28%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |