Police FC vs Bugesera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
4º
15º
5º
32
5º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
77.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
POL
0 - 2
GFC
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
POL
0 - 1
RAY
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SUN
1 - 0
POL
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
POL
0 - 2
APR
50%
24%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
BUG
2 - 0
POL
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bugesera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BUG
3 - 1
ETI
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
GFC
1 - 0
BUG
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
BUG
2 - 1
APR
41%
27%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
BUG
1 - 3
KIY
45%
28%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
GIC
0 - 2
BUG
24%
24%
53%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |