Police FC vs Bugesera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
POL
1 - 1
RFC
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
MUK
0 - 1
POL
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2021 |
POL
3 - 2
GFC
58%
22%
21%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
RAY
1 - 0
POL
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
POL
3 - 0
ETI
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bugesera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
BUG
1 - 2
ASK
38%
29%
34%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
GFC
1 - 1
BUG
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2021 |
BUG
1 - 1
KIY
35%
28%
38%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
ESP
3 - 1
BUG
43%
27%
31%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
BUG
0 - 0
EDE
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |