Poli Almería vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
12.8%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
20.5%
8.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
RON
1 - 2
POL
49%
27%
24%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
LOR
0 - 1
POL
42%
31%
27%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1987 |
POL
3 - 3
ALC
29%
31%
40%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1987 |
LLE
2 - 0
POL
79%
16%
6%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
CDO
3 - 1
POL
66%
23%
11%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
VIL
2 - 0
BEN
63%
22%
15%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
VIL
0 - 1
AGD
25%
33%
42%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
VIL
2 - 3
OLI
44%
28%
28%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
ONT
2 - 0
VIL
34%
28%
38%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -2 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
VIL
4 - 0
RAY
82%
14%
5%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |