Poli Almería vs Vélez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ALH
2 - 2
POL
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
POL
1 - 0
CDR
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 3
POL
29%
25%
47%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
POL
3 - 0
RIV
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
LIN
2 - 1
POL
74%
17%
10%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
VEL
1 - 0
CDT
56%
23%
22%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 3
VEL
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
VEL
1 - 0
TOR
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
HUE
1 - 1
VEL
47%
23%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
VEL
1 - 2
ATA
69%
19%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |