Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-9
Poli Almería vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
POL
0 - 0
BEN
68%
22%
10%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1987 |
POL
1 - 0
MEL
64%
23%
14%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
ALC
3 - 0
POL
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
POL
1 - 1
TER
59%
25%
15%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1987 |
MEL
1 - 0
POL
44%
29%
27%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
RMC
0 - 1
RAC
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
RBU
3 - 2
RMC
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
RMC
1 - 3
MAL
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
ELC
1 - 0
RMC
55%
27%
18%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
RMC
0 - 0
OVI
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |