Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 1-5
Poli Almería vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
39.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
POL
0 - 0
MAL
76%
17%
8%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
ILI
0 - 2
POL
27%
29%
43%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
POL
5 - 0
ALH
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
COI
1 - 2
POL
29%
29%
43%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
POL
2 - 0
AMA
34%
30%
36%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +4 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
ALB
2 - 1
REC
49%
29%
23%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
AGD
1 - 2
REC
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
CFC
1 - 0
REC
50%
29%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
REC
2 - 1
ELC
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
REC
3 - 0
AGD
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |