Poli Almería vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
28%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
MAL
0 - 0
POL
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
POL
0 - 2
CAD
43%
26%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
CCF
3 - 0
POL
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
POL
0 - 2
GAL
58%
24%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
SEV
1 - 3
POL
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
RJA
1 - 2
XER
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
REC
0 - 0
RJA
45%
28%
27%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1996 |
UDL
3 - 1
RJA
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
RJA
0 - 0
CPC
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
BET
0 - 2
RJA
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |