Poli Almería vs CF Motril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
51.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
15º
18º
17º
30
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 75 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 73 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 60 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 59 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 54 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 53 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 47 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 45 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 45 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 42 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 40 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 36 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
16º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
39% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 22 |
18º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 46.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 53.5% |
|
Relegation
|
85% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
UDT
4 - 0
POL
70%
18%
11%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
POL
1 - 0
CDE
30%
25%
46%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
HUE
3 - 1
POL
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
POL
3 - 0
ARE
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
POL
34%
26%
40%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CF Motril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MOT
3 - 1
RJA
19%
25%
56%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
MOT
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 0
CDL
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MAL
5 - 0
MOT
66%
21%
14%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MOT
5 - 2
CDT
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |