Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-4
Poli Almería vs CF Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1988 |
CIE
0 - 3
POL
45%
28%
27%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
POL
2 - 0
RON
47%
28%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
AMA
1 - 0
POL
56%
27%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
POL
0 - 2
ELD
54%
27%
19%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
MEL
4 - 1
POL
47%
30%
23%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
CF Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1988 |
LOR
1 - 0
AGD
32%
33%
35%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
BEN
1 - 1
LOR
45%
31%
23%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
LOR
3 - 1
ALC
32%
30%
39%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 1988 |
TER
1 - 1
LOR
65%
23%
12%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
LOR
6 - 0
UBC
47%
30%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |