Poli Almería vs Lorca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
23%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
ICR
1 - 1
POL
49%
26%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
CAD
1 - 1
POL
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
POL
2 - 0
SEV
40%
28%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
UDS
2 - 0
POL
43%
29%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
POL
2 - 2
MOT
60%
24%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
LOR
1 - 4
SEV
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
UDS
0 - 0
LOR
43%
28%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
LOR
0 - 2
MOT
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
GUA
2 - 2
LOR
33%
30%
37%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
LOR
1 - 2
ECI
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |