Poli Almería vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
46.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 2
POL
51%
23%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
POL
2 - 2
ANT
16%
21%
63%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
TOR
4 - 0
POL
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
POL
1 - 4
CDE
15%
20%
65%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
LIN
2 - 1
POL
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
LOJ
1 - 1
ATL
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ALH
1 - 2
LOJ
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
LOJ
1 - 1
MAN
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MAL
2 - 2
LOJ
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
LOJ
5 - 0
HUE
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |