Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 0-1
Poli Almería vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2000 |
MOT
1 - 2
POL
48%
26%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
POL
3 - 0
COR
62%
24%
14%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
MEL
2 - 2
POL
42%
29%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
BET
0 - 1
POL
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2000 |
POL
1 - 0
CPC
55%
25%
19%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2000 |
CAC
0 - 1
ALG
22%
25%
53%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
ALG
3 - 1
SAN
59%
24%
18%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
VVA
1 - 1
ALG
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2000 |
ALG
3 - 0
AYA
67%
21%
13%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
ARC
1 - 0
ALG
30%
28%
43%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |