Poli Almería vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
32.1%
Draw
0-0
15.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.1%
30.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
ATB
0 - 0
POL
78%
16%
6%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
ALC
2 - 2
POL
82%
14%
5%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
POL
0 - 2
LLE
29%
32%
39%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
POL
1 - 1
CDO
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1986 |
PBL
2 - 1
POL
71%
20%
10%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
AGD
2 - 3
ALC
49%
28%
23%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
AGD
1 - 0
CDO
59%
25%
16%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
ALB
1 - 1
AGD
62%
24%
14%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
AGD
0 - 1
GRA
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1986 |
CCF
1 - 0
AGD
59%
24%
16%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |