Polissya Zhytomyr vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
12.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
9º
5º
23
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polissya Zhytomyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
POL
1 - 1
HKR
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
POL
0 - 0
PFC
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ZOR
0 - 1
POL
63%
21%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VOR
0 - 3
POL
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
POL
3 - 2
DYN
22%
24%
55%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MET
2 - 1
CHO
27%
27%
47%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VOR
2 - 2
MET
70%
20%
10%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
MET
1 - 3
HKR
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
OBO
1 - 0
MET
51%
28%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
SKD
1 - 0
MET
75%
17%
8%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |