Polan vs CDEEF Patrocinio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 0
POL
57%
22%
21%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
POL
2 - 2
AYT
22%
20%
59%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MOC
4 - 0
POL
71%
17%
12%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
POL
1 - 0
ESC
68%
18%
14%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 1
POL
33%
23%
44%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CDEEF Patrocinio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CDE
0 - 1
CAL
33%
23%
44%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CBA
1 - 3
CDE
57%
19%
24%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 1
CDE
76%
14%
10%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CDE
0 - 1
ORG
7%
15%
78%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CDE
0 - 1
PTO
6%
14%
80%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |