Polan vs Ayto Navalcan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
58.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
MOC
4 - 0
POL
71%
17%
12%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
POL
1 - 0
ESC
68%
18%
14%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 1
POL
33%
23%
44%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
POL
5 - 3
ARG
50%
22%
29%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CDE
1 - 2
POL
26%
22%
53%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ayto Navalcan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
TAL
3 - 4
AYT
15%
18%
67%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AYT
4 - 0
TAL
50%
20%
31%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SCR
1 - 3
AYT
12%
16%
72%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AYT
2 - 1
TOR
43%
21%
35%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ANC
1 - 4
AYT
35%
22%
44%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |