Stade Poitevin vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
57.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1992 |
TFC
1 - 0
ASN
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1992 |
MPL
0 - 0
TFC
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1992 |
TFC
0 - 2
MAR
20%
28%
52%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1992 |
NAN
1 - 1
TFC
50%
28%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1992 |
TFC
2 - 3
AUX
31%
30%
39%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |