Stade Poitevin vs Saumur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
40%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
14º
9º
15
4º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
30 | 63 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 60 |
2º
|
47.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 52 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 47 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 46 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 46 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 42 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 41 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 38 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 36 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 35 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 32 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 32 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 30 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 19 |
16º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82.5% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 50.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Poitevin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GIR
1 - 1
POI
84%
13%
4%
|
43 | 73 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
POI
1 - 2
BOU
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
0 - 2
POI
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 2
POI
78%
15%
7%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
POI
2 - 0
VSF
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAU
3 - 1
LPS
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LOC
2 - 0
SAU
25%
25%
51%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 1
GRA
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 5
SAU
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SAU
2 - 1
ANG
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |