Stade Poitevin vs FC Libourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
9º
6º
57
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Poitevin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
POI
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
POI
1 - 1
LES
46%
25%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MON
0 - 2
POI
19%
24%
58%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
POI
1 - 1
CNF
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GUE
1 - 2
POI
24%
23%
52%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC Libourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BAY
1 - 2
FCL
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 0
GDB
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCL
3 - 2
FCP
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
FCL
39%
24%
38%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 0
PED
77%
14%
9%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |