Stade Poitevin vs ES Bourges Moulon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+211%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
5º
1º
37
4º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Poitevin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
VIE
1 - 3
POI
44%
25%
32%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
POI
0 - 0
MON
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 1
POI
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 3
POI
45%
25%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
POI
4 - 0
CHA
81%
12%
7%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
ES Bourges Moulon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
TOU
0 - 2
SBM
72%
16%
13%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SBM
5 - 1
PAN
21%
20%
59%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +3 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SBM
2 - 2
VIE
15%
18%
67%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
VSF
1 - 1
SBM
29%
21%
50%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SBM
1 - 2
MON
19%
20%
60%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | -1 |