Stade Poitevin vs Castanet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Poitevin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PAN
4 - 2
POI
43%
24%
34%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CSL
1 - 1
POI
35%
26%
39%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
POI
5 - 1
TOU
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +3 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SBM
1 - 0
POI
10%
18%
72%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
POI
3 - 1
VIE
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
BLA
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FCP
0 - 2
CAS
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 0
LES
44%
27%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LEG
1 - 2
CAS
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 1
GDB
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |