Stade Poitevin vs Bourges Foot 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
2º
15º
15º
8
1º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
15º
|
2 | 67 |
1º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 55 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 49 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 48 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 47 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 47 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 45 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 39 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
8 | 38 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 37 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 36 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 33 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 31 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
4 | 27 |
15º
|
28% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 21 |
16º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
28% | 75% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15.5% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
56.5% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Poitevin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
0 - 2
POI
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 2
POI
78%
15%
7%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
POI
2 - 0
VSF
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
POI
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
POI
1 - 0
CHA
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bourges Foot 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BOU
4 - 2
LPS
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 1
CHA
13%
18%
69%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
BOU
2 - 1
ORL
15%
20%
66%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 1
LRO
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
STP
0 - 1
BOU
42%
26%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |