Stade Poitevin vs Girondins Bordeaux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
74.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.1%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
14º
9º
36
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 65 |
1º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 55 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 51 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 49 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 49 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 45 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 42 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 40 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 39 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 33 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 32 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 31 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 21 |
16º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 90% |
|
Mid-table
|
87% | 10% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Poitevin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
POI
2 - 0
LPS
64%
21%
16%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LOC
0 - 0
POI
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
POI
3 - 1
GRA
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
LES
0 - 1
POI
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
POI
2 - 2
LRO
32%
27%
42%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Girondins Bordeaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
GIR
2 - 0
LPS
83%
13%
4%
|
75 | 40 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
GRA
1 - 2
GIR
9%
18%
73%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
GIR
1 - 2
LOC
80%
15%
5%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
GIR
1 - 4
REN
16%
22%
63%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LRO
0 - 1
GIR
10%
19%
71%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |