Point Fortin vs Police FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
54.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Point Fortin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
POI
0 - 2
PAU
31%
25%
43%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
POI
1 - 3
CAL
45%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
POI
5 - 0
POL
23%
22%
55%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +3 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
POI
0 - 3
CAL
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
POI
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Police FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
CON
2 - 2
POL
43%
24%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 5
POL
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
POI
5 - 0
POL
23%
22%
55%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ANN
0 - 1
POL
19%
19%
62%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
POL
2 - 3
DEF
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |