Poiares vs Vinha da Rainha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
35.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poiares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
LOU
0 - 0
POI
24%
22%
54%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
POI
4 - 2
SEP
85%
10%
4%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GAN
0 - 1
POI
13%
19%
68%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
POI
3 - 0
SMA
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
POI
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vinha da Rainha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
VRA
2 - 1
BRA
62%
20%
19%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SSI
0 - 1
VRA
19%
21%
60%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VRA
1 - 0
MOI
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ADE
0 - 2
VRA
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MOC
1 - 4
VRA
14%
19%
68%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |