FA Cup Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
29.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pohang Steelers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
POH
1 - 2
DAE
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
JEJ
2 - 2
POH
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
JEO
2 - 1
POH
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
POH
1 - 2
FCS
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
POH
1 - 2
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Jeju United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SUW
5 - 0
JEJ
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
JEJ
2 - 2
POH
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 0
JEJ
44%
27%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
JEJ
0 - 1
INC
43%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
JEJ
1 - 0
ULS
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |