Pogradeci vs Lushnja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
ELB
1 - 2
POG
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
POG
1 - 0
TOM
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
EGN
0 - 0
POG
35%
29%
37%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
POG
2 - 1
BES
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
TUR
4 - 1
POG
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lushnja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
LUS
3 - 1
ELB
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
TOM
2 - 0
LUS
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 3
EGN
48%
26%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
BES
1 - 1
LUS
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
LUS
2 - 2
TUR
58%
22%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |