Pogradeci vs Kukësi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
10º
5º
20
4º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 31 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 28 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 28 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 21 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 20 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
86% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
14% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VOR
1 - 0
POG
47%
23%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
POG
1 - 0
ERZ
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 1
POG
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
POG
0 - 2
BES
59%
22%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
POG
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Kukësi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KUK
1 - 0
KOR
61%
23%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KFV
1 - 2
KUK
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
KUK
1 - 2
FLA
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
KUK
1 - 2
APO
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VOR
2 - 0
KUK
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |