Pogradeci vs Himara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALB
0 - 1
POG
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
POG
3 - 2
VEL
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BUT
0 - 0
POG
45%
24%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
POG
4 - 1
TOM
36%
25%
40%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BUR
3 - 2
POG
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Himara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
HIM
1 - 3
MAM
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
HIM
1 - 1
DIN
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ALB
0 - 0
HIM
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HIM
2 - 0
VEL
39%
27%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BUT
3 - 0
HIM
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |