Pogradeci vs Besa Kavajë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
2º
10º
4º
13
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
13 | 41 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 40 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 40 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 34 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 34 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 29 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 29 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 26 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 26 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 24 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 22 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 21 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
20% | 48.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
46% | 41.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
21% | 7% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
POG
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
POG
3 - 1
KRU
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 1
POG
38%
25%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
POG
4 - 1
TUR
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LUF
1 - 1
POG
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BES
1 - 0
KOR
56%
24%
21%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 2
BES
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
BES
3 - 1
LUF
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
BES
1 - 0
FLA
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
APO
0 - 1
BES
67%
20%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |