Cup 1/16
Global 2-1
Pogradeci vs Besa Kavajë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
POG
1 - 2
BYL
25%
26%
50%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BES
2 - 2
POG
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
BES
1 - 0
POG
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
POG
0 - 0
BES
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BUT
1 - 0
POG
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BUR
5 - 1
BES
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BES
1 - 1
KOR
34%
28%
39%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
BES
1 - 0
POG
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
POG
0 - 0
BES
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BES
2 - 1
TUR
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |