Pogradeci vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2020 |
BES
3 - 2
POG
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
POG
5 - 1
TUR
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
BES
0 - 2
POG
43%
27%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
POG
2 - 1
LUS
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
APO
2 - 0
POG
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2020 |
APO
3 - 1
LUS
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2020 |
APO
1 - 2
KUK
11%
19%
70%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ORI
0 - 0
APO
28%
29%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
APO
1 - 1
DEV
61%
23%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
BES
2 - 3
APO
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |