Pogradeci vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
TOM
2 - 1
POG
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BYL
1 - 1
POG
66%
20%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
POG
0 - 3
TIR
16%
26%
58%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
TUR
2 - 1
POG
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
POG
3 - 0
SHK
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
TIR
5 - 1
APO
76%
18%
6%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
APO
0 - 1
BYL
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
BYL
2 - 2
APO
67%
21%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
APO
0 - 0
TIR
18%
26%
56%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
TOM
0 - 1
APO
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |