Pogradeci vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
TIR
6 - 0
POG
71%
21%
9%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
PAR
3 - 0
POG
74%
19%
7%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
POG
3 - 1
TOM
59%
23%
19%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2017 |
POG
0 - 1
PAR
11%
20%
69%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
POG
2 - 1
TUR
62%
21%
16%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
APO
2 - 0
ILI
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
SHE
0 - 2
APO
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
APO
3 - 1
BYL
27%
27%
47%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
TIR
2 - 0
APO
74%
19%
7%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
APO
2 - 3
TOM
62%
21%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |