Pogradeci vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
KAM
2 - 1
POG
41%
28%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
POG
1 - 1
BYL
22%
25%
53%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
LAÇ
2 - 0
POG
63%
23%
15%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
POG
2 - 1
VLZ
22%
28%
50%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
SHK
2 - 1
POG
67%
20%
14%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
APO
2 - 1
BYL
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
VLZ
1 - 0
APO
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
APO
1 - 3
FLA
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
TIR
1 - 0
APO
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
APO
1 - 0
KRU
27%
27%
47%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |