UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 9-2
Pogon Szczecin vs Tiligul Tiraspol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogon Szczecin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
TIT
0 - 3
POG
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
POG
4 - 1
OWD
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2005 |
CRA
4 - 2
POG
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2005 |
POG
1 - 1
ZAL
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
AMI
0 - 0
POG
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tiligul Tiraspol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
TIT
0 - 3
POG
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
UAC
1 - 2
TIT
29%
30%
41%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2005 |
TIT
4 - 2
NIS
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
TIT
3 - 2
DAC
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2005 |
TIR
1 - 1
TIT
59%
25%
16%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |